## 面向密集度的弹丸起始扰动优化设计及稳健设计

Title   Optimization design and robust design of the projectile  initial disturbance for firing intensity
Abstract
The projectile initial disturbance is closely related to the intensity of the howitzer, random and uncertain. This thesis focus on improving the intensity of the howitzer based on the theory of optimal design and robust design. The FORTRAN program language is used to construct shooting intensity model, which simulates randomness of the projectile initial disturbance and based on the related theory of Monte Carlo simulation. The program is integrated into multidisciplinary optimization software (ISIGHT), and a neural network model of firing intensity is built. A quantitative description about the influence of various parameters on the fire intensity is given through sensitivity analysis. The projectile initial disturbance parameters are optimized，the global optimal solution and reasonable tolerance is got by adopting the multi-objective optimization method (NSGA II), which can make the enfilade intensity to reach the expected aim. A robust design is performed to make the final parameter scheme satisfy the requirement of target and have good robustness based on the optimal solution. 源`自*六)维[论*文'网www.lwfree.cn
Keywords: Firing intensity, projectile initial disturbance, neural network, sensitivity analysis, genetic algorithm, robust design.

1  绪论    1
1.1  选题背景与意义    1
1.2  国内外研究现状    1
1.3  本文研究内容    4
2  火炮射击密集度模型    5
2.1  射击密集度流程    5
2.2  随机变量及随机分布的确定    5
2.3  随机抽样方法    7
2.4  射击密集度计算程序    8
2.5  本章小结    10
3  ISIGHT环境下射击密集度神经网络近似模型构建    11
3.1  ISIGHT与射击密集度程序的集成    11
3.2  人工神经网络理论    14
3.3  ISIGHT中神经网络近似模型    16
3.4  本章小结    20
4  弹丸起始扰动参数灵敏度分析    21
4.1  试验设计方法    21
4.2  初步试验设计与灵敏度分析    22
4.3  基于神经网络近似模型的灵敏度分析    27
4.4  本章小结    30
5  弹丸起始扰动参数优化设计    31
5.1  改进非支配排序遗传算法    31 面向密集度的弹丸起始扰动优化设计及稳健设计:http://www.lwfree.cn/jixie/20190220/30471.html
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